Going Technical...

Assalaamu Alaikum Wa Rahmatullah,

It is 15th July, 2007. Not that you can’t see the date above [or is it below?], I am just reminding myself that 6th Month is about to depart and the progress of FYP is Zero.

With a brand new register reserved just for the project, a File with all the surveys, analysis and different documents filed neatly in it I’ve been preparing myself to start working. But for the last few posts I've only been babbling about my Final Year Project. It is now time " We go Tech !! "

Talking about the Technical details for "Forecasting", the most technical part was to decide the "Techniques" to be used in the project. Keeping in mind we dont just have to make the models, but would have to "code" them too, we came up with following techniques after a lot of searching and guidance by our Supervisor and teachers.

• Regression [Linear wont help, therefore Multiple Non Linear!]
• Poisson Distribution
• Time Series Analysis
• Bayesian Networks (and maybe Neural Networks)

Yes, We're back to Statistics [and not to forget, a LOT OF Maths!] as we'll be "Forecasting" [No joke, right?]. Along with that we'll be needing bulk of data to forecast ofcourse. That is one big necessity of the project. Lets leave the "Data about Data" for some other post.

Up till now we've only started working on Regression. Extrapolation is just a small part of it. Forecasting uses a lot of it, but the results are not so accurate, therefore we'd be needing the rest of the techniques to improve the end product, thus having precise results.

That is all for Techniques. Stay tuned for more details.

Is Taudi'u Kum'Ullah.

P.S: Check the Downloads Section for the Dummy Documentation.